A. Gary Shilling

Our approach to analyzing and forecasting economic and financial developments in the U.S. and abroad, and to apply our results to clients' activities and portfolios we manage is guided by Dr. Shilling's two long-standing principles: - Human nature changes very slowly over time, if at all. Therefore, history is relevant because human beings will react to similar circumstances in similar ways. The trick, however, is to find the relevant piece of history on which to draw parallels. In this sense, forecasting is an art, not a science. - The objective of forecasting is to identify the significant but undiscounted aspects of the outlook. This is where the true opportunities for investors lie and where business can get the jump on competitors. A rehash of the consensus view, which is fully discounted in security markets and business plans, is of limited value. Our approach is "top down," emphasizing the major themes-developed from our economic, financial and political analysis-that will influence business and financial markets in the short and long runs. The themes are developed carefully, and we normally stick to them as they unfold, avoiding whipsawing our clients-and ourselves-by constant radical changes in our outlook. Browse through our website to learn more about the services A. Gary Shilling & Co. provides. Advisory Services offered through A. Gary Shilling & Co., Inc., registered as an Investment Adviser with the State of New Jersey, Bureau of Securities (NJBOS). Please click here for regulatory and disclosure information about A. Gary Shilling & Co., Inc. Nothing on this website should be construed as investment advice or a solicitation or offer, or recommendation, to acquire or dispose of any investment. The information contained on this website is the property of A. Gary Shilling & Co., Inc. and we provide it for information and educational purposes only. Since we cannot anticipate all the requisites of each individual viewer, there is no consideration given for the specific investment needs, objectives or tolerances of any of the viewers. Viewers should consult their own advisors, including tax advisors, before making any investment decision. This website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or instruments, whether mentioned or not. No part of this website or its subject matter may be reproduced, disseminated, or disclosed without the prior written approval of A. Gary Shilling & Co., Inc. Copyright © 2017 A. Gary Shilling & Co.